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 Year-End 2014 Chemical Industry Situation and Outlook

American Chemistry Builds Momentum

American chemistry output expanded in 2014 despite weakness in key export markets and adverse winter weather. In the United States, strong gains in light vehicles and housing, two important markets for chemistry producers, drove modest economic growth. Looking ahead to 2015, recessions in Brazil, Japan and many European nations and slowdowns among other major trading partners may at first glance seem like bad news for the U.S. economic outlook but a number of other developments are likely to offset the effects of overseas developments on the U.S. economy. Faster growth in the United States compared to the rest of the world (as well as a less accommodative monetary policy) is leading to an appreciation of the U.S. dollar. Appreciation of the dollar (along with the rising supply emanating from the United States) is engendering lower prices for oil. This is reducing costs and thus stimulating production as well as restraining inflation and boosting consumer confidence, purchasing power and spending. In addition, improvement in U.S. labor markets and the manufacturing renaissance in full swing are contributing to the building momentum for the American chemical industry. We also anticipate positive supply chain impacts from unconventional oil and gas development in the U.S., through increased demand for equipment, chemicals, and services required for energy production in addition to lower fuel prices for all consumers. And eventually, a sustained global expansion will result in growing trade.

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